At 9:15 a.m. Friday, an update from the National Hurricane Center indicated that the disturbance moving through the Caribbean had become Tropical Storm Bonnie, the second named storm of the 2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season.
According to CSU Meteorologist Philip Klotzbach only five other named storms have formed in the Caribbean during July:
- Anna: 1961
- Cesar: 1996
- Claudette: 2003
- Dennis: 2005
- Dolly: 2008
As of the latest update, data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicated that Bonnie has maximum winds of 40 mph and was moving west at 20 mph about 230 miles east-southeast of Bluefields, Nicaragua.
According to forecasters, a westward or west-northwestward motion is expected into Monday.
“On the forecast track, the system will move across the southwestern Caribbean Sea today, cross southern Nicaragua or northern Costa Rica tonight, and emerge over the eastern Pacific Ocean on Saturday. The system will then move offshore of but parallel to the coasts of El Salvador, Guatemala, and southern Mexico Saturday through Monday,” the NHC said in its 8 a.m. advisory.
Meanwhile, the NHC is also monitoring two other disturbances in the tropics: one in the northern Gulf of Mexico and another in the eastern Atlantic.
Northern Gulf of Mexico: “An area of low pressure centered over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. This system is forecast to move slowly westward or west-southwestward and approach the coast of Texas during the next two days. Slow development of the low is possible, and it could become a short-lived tropical depression near the coast before it moves inland. Regardless of development, heavy rain will be possible along portions of the Texas coast later this week,” the NHC said.
- Formation chance through 48 hours: Medium— 40%
- Formation chance through five days: Medium — 40%
Eastern Tropical Atlantic: “A tropical wave located over the central tropical Atlantic is producing disorganized showers and a few thunderstorms. This system is forecast to interact with another tropical wave over the next several days, and some gradual development is possible later this week while the overall system moves west-northwestward at around 15 mph across the central tropical Atlantic,” the NHC said.
- Formation chance through 48 hours: Low — near 0%
- Formation chance through five days: Low — 20%
Post source: News 4jax
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